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Paul Eggers/The News-Record & Sentinel via USA TODAY

GOP Incumbent, Dem Challenger Neck And Neck In NY's 19th Congressional District

November 01, 2018 - 11:27 am

NEW YORK (WCBS 880) -- One of this year's toss-up races is for a congressional seat in the Hudson Valley.

The incumbent in New York's 19th District is Republican John Faso, an attorney and former assemblyman, and the polls show him neck and neck with Democratic challenger Antonio Delgado, a Rhodes scholar who graduated from Harvard Law School.

Polls show Faso is vulnerable, according to Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute.

"He's a first term incumbent, and that's usually your weakest point. If you're gonna lose at anytime it's your first re-election bid, so that doesn't help," Murray said.

Delgado has higher favorability rating than Faso. The latest survey shows the incumbent trailing his opponent by 5 points -- that's within a margin of error.

An attack ad released by Faso didn't seem to help his case. Early in his career Delgado recorded some rap songs and Faso called attention to the music with a critical ad.

"The attack ads against Delgado, particularly you know around his rapper past, I think they seem to be backfiring," Murray said.

There is also gender gap.

"Female voters have just swung over to Delgado. He has a 16 point advantage there, 54 percent to 38 percent," Murray said.

New York’s 19th is considered a “pivot” district. Voters in the district backed President Donald Trump in 2016 and former President Barack Obama in 2012.

"The people who swung towards Trump are not all that committed to Donald Trump, necessarily they just want to see change. And they're ready to vote for change again by voting out the House incumbent," Murray said.