Mickey Callaway and Seth Lugo

Photo by Carmen Mandato/Getty Images

Coleman: Mickey’s Moves and Met Playoff Odds

August 16, 2019 - 1:43 pm
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By Ed Coleman

Sure, we can curse Mickey Callaway from here to kingdom come for pulling Steven Matz and watching Seth Lugo go up in flames before our eyes. My main objection to yanking Matz at that time was Callaway's end of game plan. Even if your self-proclaimed best pitcher (Lugo) went 6 up and 6 down, the Braves would have had the top of their lineup — and their 3 best hitters (Acuna Jr., Albies and Freeman) — facing either one of your not-best pitchers (Edwin Diaz or Justin Wilson) in the 9th inning.  

Not exactly a put-it-in-the-books moment.  

And even if your bullpen doesn't self-destruct, you're probably not going to win if 4 of your middle-of-the-order hitters  — Michael Conforto (6), Wilson Ramos (5), Pete Alonso (4) and Todd Frazier (3) — combine to go 1-16 on the night and leave 18 men on base.

But I digress.  

This is a pretty resilient bunch which doesn't seem at all fazed by injuries, slumps, pitching meltdowns or questionable in-game decisions. And they actually seem to like each other too!  

Jeff McNeil — a guy the Mets offense doesn't seem like it can function without — pulls a hammy and goes on the 10 day I.L. So Amed Rosario then simply slides into the leadoff spot and goes 9-11 (.818) with 5 runs, 2 doubles, a triple and 2 RBI in the last two games in Atlanta.  

The Mets looked cooked after dropping the first two to the N.L. East leading Braves, but then busted out for an eye-popping 23 hits to salvage the finale.

Alonso led the way, continuing his magical season with his 39th home run, tying Cody Bellinger's National League rookie HR record. He's one shy of the 40 mark and 2 shy of tying the all-time HR record for the Mets in a season. Oh, and he also had 5 hits and drove in 6 runs.  

Every Met starter had at least one hit, including pitcher Marcus Stroman. Rosario had 5, Ramos 4, Conforto 2. Even Juan Lagares, who has seen his playing time increase with McNeil's injury and has been basically non-existent all season, is contributing. Lagares went 8-14 during the Atlanta series and is looking more like the Gold Glove outfielder he is while patrolling center field.

I don't pay much attention to the odds to make the playoffs, but everybody else apparently does, so here goes.  

The Mets currently sit at 39.3 %. That's under 40, and even I know that's not stupendous. But only the Nationals at 86.5% and the Cubs at 72.1% have better odds than the Mets at the moment for the final two wild card spots.

They head to Kansas City for a 3 game series with a 43 win Royals team, and they have their big 3 — Noah Syndergaard, Jacob Degrom and Zack Wheeler — on the mound.  

Let's check those playoff odds Monday. Enjoy the weekend.

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